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Smith, Gregg Counties Lead Large Texas MSAs In Healthcare System Capacity Per Capita

UT Tyler Hibbs Institute for Business & Economic Research • May 04, 2020
In the wake of the COVID–19 pandemic, healthcare systems in areas that have seen dramatic spikes in illness from the novel coronavirus have been significantly strained. How well positioned is the East Texas healthcare infrastructure to handle the pandemic, and how does East Texas compare to the rest of the state? This issue of the Hibbs Newsletter discusses the healthcare system capacity in Greater East Texas. The Hibbs Institute finds that Smith and Gregg Counties have a robust healthcare system that rivals large Texas MSAs when capacity is evaluated on a per capita basis.

The number of confirmed COVID–19 cases this week in the US has hit 1 million, which is 36 percent of the worldwide cases (2.8 million). Fatality rates caused by COVID-19 itself can increase significantly in any given area if an affected patient with severe symptoms does not have the medical aid required to overcome the illness.

Since COVID–19 is highly contagious, most of the world has taken significant steps to contain or slow the spread of the virus. The term “flattening the curve” describes a phenomenon where restriction of social contact reduces the impact at any one time on a healthcare system. Assuming a large number of individuals will contract COVID–19, these individuals would not be sick at the same time so as not to exceed healthcare system capacity. The more COVID–19 cases can be distributed in the following months, the better medical assistance can be provided; lowering the fatality rate (Figure 1).

Healthcare system capacity varies widely across the globe. The typical variables used to measure the healthcare system capacity are the number of physicians and the number of hospital beds per 100,000 population. For
instance, the US has 924,107 staffed beds in all hospitals (6,146); equaling 281.5 beds per 100,000 population. Compared with other nations, this number may be considered relatively high and efficient under normal circumstances.

So what is the healthcare system capacity here in East Texas? For Smith and Gregg counties in particular, the capacity is favorable. The UT Tyler Hibbs Institute further describes how the capacity is determined.
Trauma Services Areas in Greater East Texas
The Texas Department of State and Health Services classifies the 254 counties in Texas into 22 trauma service areas (TSAs). The department grouped areas with relatively low hospital bed capacities (typically rural) with well-endowed areas. This grouping describes how the healthcare system may provide the necessary medical assistance to Texas residents during times with high usage, as you may find during a pandemic. (Table 1). The Hibbs Institute uses the TSA classification to compare the healthcare system capacities in selected TSA areas.

Within the area labeled Greater East Texas, trauma service area F includes eight counties, while trauma service area G includes 19 counties. Both service areas combined (27 counties) include the Hibbs Institute influence area (23 counties in East Texas) plus four counties: Freestone, Houston, Shelby and Trinity (Figure 2).
Healthcare System Capacity in Greater East Texas

The healthcare system capacity is considerably different from county to county in Greater East Texas. The ratios between population and primary care physicians (PCP) are common variables used to measure the capacity. For instance, the ratio of population to PCP in Smith County is 810.9, or 811 (Table 2). This ratio means that the county has one primary care physician for every 811 individuals. A smaller number implies a larger capacity. In contrast, Van Zandt County shows a similar ratio of 5,015.5, meaning that the county has one primary care physician for every 5,015 individuals.

While the most populated counties in Greater East Texas (Smith, Gregg and Bowie) have outstanding positions in the state ranking (fifth, sixth and ninth, respectively), counties such as Rains, Marion and Shelby rank among the bottom 50 out of 254 Texas counties. Remarkably, Smith, Gregg and Bowie counties show significantly better ratios than large metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in Texas (Dallas, Houston, Austin and San Antonio). They are included in the following information graphic for comparison. As of Tuesday, there are 53 active cases in Smith County and 74 active cases in Gregg County, according to the Northeast Texas Public Health District. By comparing the number of cases to PCP, the data shows that both counties are well-positioned to overcome this pandemic.
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