The number of confirmed COVID–19 cases this week in the US has hit 1 million, which is 36 percent of the worldwide cases (2.8 million). Fatality rates caused by COVID-19 itself can increase significantly in any given area if an affected patient with severe symptoms does not have the medical aid required to overcome the illness.
Since COVID–19 is highly contagious, most of the world has taken significant steps to contain or slow the spread of the virus. The term “flattening the curve” describes a phenomenon where restriction of social contact reduces the impact at any one time on a healthcare system. Assuming a large number of individuals will contract COVID–19, these individuals would not be sick at the same time so as not to exceed healthcare system capacity. The more COVID–19 cases can be distributed in the following months, the better medical assistance can be provided; lowering the fatality rate (Figure 1).
Healthcare system capacity varies widely across the globe. The typical variables used to measure the healthcare system capacity are the number of physicians and the number of hospital beds per 100,000 population. For
instance, the US has 924,107 staffed beds in all hospitals (6,146); equaling 281.5 beds per 100,000 population. Compared with other nations, this number may be considered relatively high and efficient under normal circumstances.
So what is the healthcare system capacity here in East Texas? For Smith and Gregg counties in particular, the capacity is favorable. The UT Tyler Hibbs Institute further describes how the capacity is determined.